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The Federal Reserve is expected to announce that it is raising its fed funds target rate range by three-quarters of a point. A basis point equals 0.01 of a percentage point. If the Fed decides to signal smaller hikes are coming, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell could be the messenger when he briefs the media at 2:30 p.m. The hike would be the fourth 75 basis point hike in a row. A basis point equals 0.01 of a percentage point.
The Fed raised its target fed funds rate Wednesday by 75 basis points, or three-quarters of a point, and said it would take into account the lagging impact of higher rates on the economy. In the futures market, traders bet the terminal rate for fed funds would reach 5.09% by May from just over 5% before the meeting. The terminal rate is the level at which the Fed is expected to stop raising interest rates. With Wednesday's hike, the fed funds target rate range is now 3.75% to 4%. Caron said the market is now projecting a rate above the Fed's median target for the terminal rate.
The latest threat to stocks now isn't any macro risk — it's rising 2-year Treasury yields, according to some fund managers and strategists. Short-term, relatively risk-free Treasury bonds and funds are back in the spotlight as the yield on the 2-year Treasury continues to surge. Meanwhile, U.S.-listed short-term Treasury ETFs have attracted $7 billion of inflows so far in September — six times the volume of inflows last month, BlackRock said. Here's what analysts say about how to allocate your portfolio right now. This sees investors put 60% of their portfolio in stocks, and 40% bonds.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is in grave danger of being too hawkish, says JPMorgan's David KellyJim Caron, global fixed-income portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management; David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management; and Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss Fed policy hikes, the rapid rise in the 2-year note, and the looming economic slowdown.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI just don't think the economy can take a 4.25 to 4.5% rate, says JPM's David KellyJim Caron, global fixed-income portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley investment management, David Kelly, chief global strategist at JP Morgan asset management and Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the Fed announcement of a 75 basis point hike.
The Fed is expected to fire off another three-quarter point rate hike — its third in a row. We had theoretical road maps up until now, but from the Fed's point of view they're crossing into a world of tightening. Neutral is considered to be the interest rate level where Fed policy is no longer easy, but not yet restrictive. The Fed has considered 2.5% to be neutral, and if it raises by three-quarters of a point, fed funds will be in a range of 3% to 3.25%. In June, the Fed forecast the unemployment rate would be 3.7% this year, the same level it was at in August.
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